Jones by Decision (+650)Ī quick look at JBJ’s history inside the octagon reveals that he’s been just as likely to finish opponents with strikes as he is to win by decision. Let’s break down Jones’ chances of defeating Smith by decision as well as by TKO/KO or submission. Predicting JBJ to win this fight isn’t a difficult task, but figuring out how Jones might win this fight is where we have the chance to make some money. Formulating an actual path to success against the sport’s potential GOAT is where things get tricky, as nobody actually knows how to defeat Jones because it’s never happened before. Smith has a chance of winning because technically every competitor has a “chance” of winning a one-on-one fight. Perhaps Smith’s aggressive nature will enable him to catch JBJ off guard and pull off one of the greatest upsets in UFC history. Of course, nothing is guaranteed in a fist fight. Jones’ overwhelming technical and physical advantages make this matchup about as big of a mismatch as you could possibly imagine. PT in the video above.We’re going to break down this fight a bit different than usual due to the astronomical odds. Watch MMA Fighting’s UFC 281 Watch Party at 9:45 p.m. Opening the main card will be a 155-pound matchup as Dan Hooker looks to get back to his winning ways and halt the five-fight win streak of Claudio Puelles. Prior to that, former lightweight champ Frankie Edgar makes the walk to the octagon for the final time in a bantamweight bout against the surging Chris Gutierrez. The lightweight division will be on display in the featured bout with an expected all-action clash between Dustin Poirier and Michael Chandler.

UFC 281 also includes a strawweight championship bout in the co-main event as Carla Esparza puts her newly won title on the line against former champ Zhang Weili. Join MMA Fighting’s Mike Heck and Conner Burks, and other special guests such as Jed Meshew and Bloody Elbow’s Kristen King to watch along for the stacked UFC 281 main card live as it happens. MMA Fighting has a live watch party for Saturday’s UFC 281 event, which will mark the promotion’s return to Madison Square Garden in New York City, and will be headlined by the highly anticipated middleweight title fight between Israel Adesanya and Alex Pereira.

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